Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-06 6.081018 6.695355 7.373856 8.184312 9.133376 10.218776 11.567493
2024-10-13 4.960416 5.735451 6.658059 7.856832 9.403523 11.376939 14.164457
2024-10-20 4.297815 5.122689 6.152451 7.567186 9.519967 12.220824 16.442998
2024-10-27 3.872199 4.722055 5.822205 7.401430 9.704642 13.116996 18.963390
2024-11-03 3.577243 4.446127 5.605823 7.334826 9.983207 14.164952 22.000800
2024-11-10 3.484450 4.422670 5.718394 7.735857 11.010301 16.602104 28.382443
2024-11-17 3.332668 4.299101 5.669827 7.879349 11.640742 18.511622 34.629966
2024-11-24 3.127267 4.080249 5.457622 7.734003 11.748057 19.467391 39.220358
2024-12-01 2.969788 3.917452 5.312424 7.675296 11.991914 20.747199 45.381325
2024-12-08 2.804920 3.731600 5.115337 7.505302 11.997875 21.521801 50.635566
2024-12-15 2.687315 3.608135 5.004642 7.468870 12.251298 22.917731 58.970024
2024-12-22 2.580602 3.494027 4.899203 7.428555 12.487850 24.343364 68.794654
2024-12-29 2.515755 3.448415 4.913731 7.631257 13.324537 27.756300 92.471855
2025-01-05 2.364506 3.260500 4.682758 7.359649 13.100308 28.261322 103.495858
2025-01-12 2.229151 3.089976 4.468819 7.098189 12.856451 28.647624 115.127516
2025-01-19 2.125254 2.963619 4.320488 6.947423 12.843493 29.759894 134.860671
2025-01-26 2.045240 2.871128 4.223430 6.886755 13.035641 31.644466 167.580285
2025-02-02 2.038477 2.896729 4.332394 7.251747 14.365158 38.316619 293.463653
2025-02-09 1.995986 2.860492 4.328440 7.382137 15.122053 43.418276 475.071346
2025-02-16 1.919610 2.763496 4.207970 7.250062 15.129741 45.323468 632.861110
2025-02-23 1.859239 2.690675 4.127213 7.196683 15.355510 48.475460 965.308996
2025-03-02 1.789537 2.598874 4.005993 7.042016 15.255308 49.971148 1341.194108
2025-03-09 1.739805 2.539161 3.941286 7.008849 15.521259 53.728429 2519.025607